A Deep Learning-Based Framework for Early Diabetes Prediction Using Retinal Fundus Images

by Dr. Enosegbe, Daniel Lucky, Dr. Suleiman Abu Usman, Dr. Theophilus Aniemeka Enem

Published: January 6, 2026 • DOI: 10.47772/IJRISS.2025.91200206

Abstract

Diabetes mellitus is a worldwide health issue, with the rising prevalence and serious prolonged issues, such as cardiovascular disease, peripheral neuropathy, and sight loss. Early diagnosis is essential to avoid irredeemable harm, but traditional diagnostic tools, e.g., blood glucose and HbA1c testing, are invasive, periodic and unavailable in low-resource environments. The retinal fundus imaging is a non-invasive alternative that captures microvascular alterations related to early diabetes and therefore has the potential of being an effective modality in predictive screening. The study proposed a deep learning-based predicting framework of early diabetic diseases through retinal fundus images. The framework operates on a convolutional neural network (CNN) that operates on a pre-trained ResNet-50 backbone on a training based on transfer learning and fine-tuning. Preprocessing of the data was done by determining the quality of images, resizing, data normalization, and contrast enhancement with CLAHE, noise removal, and data augmentation to address the class imbalance. The dataset used in experiments contained 12,000 retinal images, subdivided into the training, validation, and testing groups, and such evaluation measures as accuracy, precision, recall, specificity, F1-score, and ROC-AUC were used to evaluate the methods. Grad-CAM visualizations were used so that the interpretations are interpretable and relevant to clinical application. The results demonstrates high predictive performance, with an accuracy of 94.2% precision of 92.8, recall of 93.1 and F1-score of 93.1 and ROC-AUC of 0.96. The model was effective in addressing interpretable clinically meaningful retinal areas. The contributions made are a strong, non-invasive predictive model, elaborate preprocessing plans and thorough assessment. This paper indicates that AI retinal analysis is potentially valuable in prompt detection of diabetes in the initial phases of the illness to provide early interventions and enhance patient health outcomes.